At this point, the question isn't whether autonomous cars will become a reality. We already know the answer: yes, they will. And soon.
Now, the question is: when will the motoring public will get onboard with self-driving vehicles? The answer will determine how quickly autonomous cars -- and their expected benefits -- roll out.
To illustrate, consider electric and hybrid vehicles. The fully electric Nissan Leaf has been on sale for several years, and hybrids like the Toyota Prius and the Honda Insight launched over a decade ago. It's abundantly clear that the days of gas-powered vehicles are numbered. And yet, hybrid and EV sales still make up just a tiny sliver of the auto market, despite an increasing variety of options offered to consumers.
Will autonomous vehicles see a similarly slow rate of adoption? The folks at CarInsurance.com wanted to find out, so they polled 2,000 licensed drivers to spot potholes sitting in the path of autonomous vehicles -- and ways to speed things up.
The survey reveals that a majority of drivers trust their own driving skills far more than they trust a computer. (This, despite the fact that some of the few collisions that Google's autonomous car has had occurred when humans were in charge of the vehicle.) Among the findings:
- 64 percent of those surveyed said that humans are better at decision-making than computers.
- 75 percent said that they could drive a vehicle better than a computer.
- And especially important: 75 percent said they could never trust an autonomous vehicle to drive their kids to school.
That said, not all drivers were so skeptical. A full 20 percent of those surveyed said that they'd be happy to let an autonomous car do the driving, no questions asked. What would it take to get the rest onboard? Apparently, a big discount in auto insurance.
When presented with the possibility of an 80 percent reduction in their insurance premium, over one-third of respondents said they'd be "very likely" to purchase an autonomous vehicle, and nearly all -- 90 percent -- said that they'd at least consider the idea.
Of course, insurance and liability for autonomous vehicles remain major sticking points. After all, when a computer is doing most, if not all of the driving, who's to blame for a collision? The automaker? The software engineers? The driver? To paraphrase a certain Disney movie, this is a whole new world, and it's not likely to get settled soon.
One other interesting bit of information gleaned from the survey involves the companies that consumers trust to make autonomous vehicles. Contrary to a recent study that showed consumers' preference for buying autonomous vehicles from tech firms like Google and Apple, respondents on this survey were clearly more interested in self-driving cars from established automakers:
- 54 percent would put their trust in autonomous vehicles from companies like Ford and Honda.
- 18 percent would prefer to buy from a startup automaker like Tesla.
- 15 percent would purchase from a software firm like Google.
- 12 percent would invest in a car from a hardware manufacturer like Apple.
- Just 1 percent would buy an autonomous car from a telecommunications company like AT&T.