Monterey Verdict: Collector-Car Market Surprisingly Strong

August 22, 2009

Many investors and auto hobbyists alike are understandably still pretty shaky about putting money down on the stock market. But that hesitation hasn't shown any lasting sign of translating to the top of the market for collector cars.

That's the verdict after last weekend's big Monterey auctions, long considered some of the top sales of the year, and strong indicators of what's moving and shaking.

According to the LA Times, this year's Monterey auctions together made more than $116 million; that's down from last year's pre-stock-market-plunge $130 million total, but very respectable all considering.

While those without a personal fleet manager might be holding on to their money a little more tightly than usual, buyers and sellers at the very top of the market partied like it was 2005—the most recent time when the top of the market was surging to ever-higher levels for nearly every type of car. "Some of the once in a lifetime cars—the ones that if you're in the market for 30 years you might only see one or two—did spectacularly," said Dave Kinney, a widely respected values expert and publisher of Hagerty's Cars That Matter, a price guide for post-war collector cars. "And the well-prepared number-one cars and spectacular restorations have done as strong as they've ever done."

1946 Mercury Sportsman convertible - RM Monterey 2009

1946 Mercury Sportsman convertible - RM Monterey 2009

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The biggest story of this year's auctions, according to most experts, was the hand-built 1965 Shelby Daytona Coupe at Mecum—at a $7.25 million hammer price. RM auctioned off a vintage woodie collection for $7.5 million, with one of them, a 1946 Mercury Sportsman convertible, selling for $335,000.

One of the few exceptions was the '38 Bugatti Type 57C, the so-called Bugatti's Bugatti and formerly property of Ettore Bugatti, which RM sold at a lower-than-expected $1.375 million.

Looking at the rest of the market, things aren't quite as strong as they were a few years ago. Earlier this summer, we reported that the general market for muscle cars has sagged slightly, with parts cost on the rise and attendance down at some of the regional shows.

"The middle market stuff is a little bit softer, so the stretch between a number one and a number two is a little bit greater than it has been," explained Kinney. Yet Kinney said that at Monterey there were plenty of people "paying up for the right car, trading in their okay car or their stories car, letting that one go…because they want the best one in the world."

The cheaper cars—and best deals at Monterey, depending on how you look at it—were to be had from the cars that had slight flaws, no paperwork, no history, or other issues that would only be deal-breakers to the most demanding collectors, according to Kinney.

"In keeping with the idea of trading up, it's a pretty good time to buy your dream collector car, not because they're going for bargain-basement prices, but it's a little bit of a market reset."

It's much better than it could have been. Late last fall Kinney couldn't get return phone calls from dealers and those who he relies on for pricing information. They eventually said that cars just weren't moving, but now it's a good sign that they're actually picking up inventory.

"The ones that ran up in 2006 to 2008 are the ones that went down the fastest," says Kinney. "They've reset to the 2005 level."

Among those are Ferrari Daytonas (1968-73) and 250 Lussos (1962-64). They had reset but then had gone up quite fast.

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