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A new Purdue University study shows that if California consumers don't look into alternative electricity-rate programs, the state’s tiered electricity pricing system could mean owners will pay some of the highest rates in the country to recharge their green cars.
The report comes just one month after the first deliveries of the all-electric 2011 Nissan Leaf and extended-range electric 2011 Chevrolet Volt to California consumers.
What a shock – figuratively speaking.
Try to wrap your mind around the problem. California was chosen to study, according to energy economist and lead researcher, Wally Tyner, because the state has long been at the leading edge of energy conservation policies and practices – aka the drive to be green – and plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs) are expected to be popular there.
For those of you in non-tiered electricity bill states, in a tiered system, consumers pay a higher rate for any electricity they use beyond a certain point.
California has three rate tiers as well as a time-of-use system, which reduces the rate during periods of low use. That’s why electric utility companies encourage consumers to do laundry after 7:00 p.m. – when energy demands are lower (and, electric pricing).
Guess when most PHEV owners will be recharging their vehicles? Right, after they arrive home from work, school, doing errands, whatever – dinnertime and later.
(Every electric car sold by a major carmaker, however, includes software that lets the owner plug in the car on arrival at home, but direct it to start charging at a given time--for instance, after 11 pm or midnight, when cheaper overnight rates come into play.)
“The objective of a tiered system is to discourage consumption,” said Tyner. “In California, the unintended consequence is that plug-in hybrid cars won’t be economical under this system.”
Tyner added that almost everyone in California reaches the third pricing tier each month. Adding demand from a plug-in hybrid would ensure they’re charged the highest rate. The study found that introducing a PHEV to the household will increase average electricity usage by 60 percent.
Californians currently pay an average of 14.42 cents per kilowatt hour – which is about 35 percent higher than the national average.
The study said that a conventional Toyota Prius hybrid, which doesn’t require an outlet to charge, and a gasoline-powered Chevrolet Cobalt (no longer in production) are most cost effective in California.
In order for the Volt to be economical, oil prices would have to rise from less than $100 per barrel now to between $171 and $254. That’s even after factoring in up to $7,500 in federal and up to $5,000 in state incentives on the purchase of EVs and PHEVs.
Over the life of the vehicle, PHEV owners could shell out $10,000 more. As Tyner says, “Most consumers will look at the numbers and won’t pay that.”
Have an opinion?
Dan Busby Posted: 1/20/2011 11:30am PST
I'd love to see how they arrived at the calculations in this article.
Dan Busby Posted: 1/20/2011 11:32am PST
I'd love to see how they arrived at the calculations in this article.
Greg Posted: 1/20/2011 12:23pm PST
I would also love to see the assumptions and numbers in this "study." To conclude that a plug-in hybrid that also charges from the gasoline engine would increase household energy usage by 60% is ridiculous.
For those interested the Purdue website has an article about the study here: http://www.purdue.edu/newsroom/research/2011/110113TynerHybrids.html
The author's contact information can be found there.
By the way, I'm a proud owner of an electric vehicle, also, and have my reservation in for a Nissan Leaf.
The media is way too quick to find reasons for consumers to avoid adopting the EV as the best solution for reducing air pollution, for exporting of dollars to OPEC and for strengthening our national security; and far to slow to promote creativity and new ideas for promoting the EV as the wave of the future.
The media is way too quick to find reasons for consumers to avoid adopting the EV as the best solution for reducing air pollution, for exporting of dollars to OPEC and for strengthening our national security; and far to slow to promote creativity and new ideas for promoting the EV as the wave of the future.
Dave Posted: 1/20/2011 12:40pm PST
A discussion with a friend came to the same conclusion, you'd need a pretty efficient car, at least 60mpg to equal the cost per mile of a 300wh/mile EV with today's gas prices.
A google search of Wally Tyner also reveals he's a biofuels guy at Perdue. In the words of my friend; "So... I would not consider this a unbiased source."
:)
Greg Posted: 1/20/2011 12:55pm PST
So if you're in California you buy your plug-in vehicle, you switch to Real-Time/Market-Rate/Time-Of-Use billing and you charge overnight when it's cheap. No problem. Or is it? Now THAT would be really interesting AND valuable research to compare overnight historic real-time-pricing data numbers to non-plugin vehicle fuel costs!
Or better yet, since you're in the Golden State, you leverage the governmental and state incentives not only for your plug-in vehicle but also throw up some PV solar panels... no fuel taxes AND a fixed cost for electricity: A clever person solves a problem, a wise one avoids it.
M@
Show OPEC where to stick it: Drive Electric!
www.illinois.edu/goto/twike
Rick Beebe Posted: 1/25/2011 9:31am PST
They do conclude that time-of-use pricing makes the PHEV "considerably more attractive" which is something this article ignored.
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