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2010 Detroit Auto Show: From The Outside Looking In


Audi e-tron Concept for 2010 Detroit Auto Show

Audi e-tron Concept for 2010 Detroit Auto Show

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2010 Fiat 500 BEV

2010 Fiat 500 BEV

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We don't use the word "I" very much in our writing at TCC, but this time, I suppose I'll have to: I'm going to give my take on the 2010 Detroit Auto Show from the vantage point of my office, which lies -- inconveniently -- about 1,000 miles to the south.

What can I add to the discussion from here in New Orleans? Well, while Marty, John, and Bengt are surrounded by the "trees" of the convention, I think I've got a pretty good view of the industry "forest", and I've spotted about five trends that look to have some staying power. Of course, NAIAS is far from over, and a few more themes may emerge before our gang stumble onto redeye flights and the Detroit booth professionals return to their, um, booths. If you spot something notable that I've missed (it wouldn't be the first time), feel free to send an email or leave a comment below.

* * * * *

1. Real EVs

Seeing alternative vehicles at auto shows is nothing new -- in fact, you could argue that we've seen them for over 150 years -- but many of those have been profoundly experimental. This year, however, things look a bit different: we're not just seeing hybrids (though there are lots of them), we're also seeing a bevy of battery electric vehicles like the Fiat 500 BEV (lower left) and the revamped Audi e-tron (above left). And of course, there are the hybrids-of-a-different-color, like the Chevrolet Volt, which John had the chance to drive over the weekend (minus the terrible dancers). In fact, it's practically a rarity to hear any news from the show floor about a pure combustion engine; hybrids and EVs have nearly become the norm.

Now, I know there's a big difference between auto expos and real life. There's a lot of media hype surrounding EVs, and I'm wary of getting too caught up in the giddiness of it all -- especially when neither consumers nor the charging infrastructure are quite ready for vast numbers of battery-powered vehicles. However, many of the models being show at NAIAS are both viable and desirable, which means there's at least a 50/50 chance that some will find their way onto American roads.

Even better, the automakers themselves seem to be embracing the technology rationally, taking it all in stride. Of the lot, I think Audi's approach is most interesting: the company has refused to do anything in the "mild hybrid" school, insisting that they're in search of the real deal, be it EVs like the e-tron, hybrids, or efficient combustion engines. To me, that says that even power junkies like Johan de Nysschen see the future, and it's far less gassy.

One surprising thing, though: the lack of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. But then, maybe that's in keeping with this year's level-headed tone.






 
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Comments (13)
  1. This is really a great summary! Its always helpful to hear from someone who knows what they are talking about but is not influenced by the glitz and glamor of the show.
     
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  2. EVs are indeed real, but the numbers will be small for several years. Just as not every American ended up driving a huge pickup or SUV even when there wasn't a single car intro at Detroit, not every buyer will go for a hybrid or an electric. Behavior changes pretty slowly but cars go through fads. This year, the predominant flavor is electric. And, as you note, hurray for no hydrogen hoopla. Finally. At last. Phew.
     
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  3. Great summary. Does feel that EVs have arrived (finally). Am a bit in the wait and see mode re the "synch" and what it means in reality (real use case) after the wow/gadget cool aura passes.
     
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  4. No apocalypse, Richard? Seriously? Haven't you seen FOX lately, man? Terrorists, Communists, and Democrats (meaning the same group of people) are taking over :-)
    I purposely didn't list "socialists" because I don't know what it really means or even how to spell it. I just know that it's bad and that's why Jesus driving the CR-Z is coming soon...
     
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  5. "Your car is now an iPhone with Corinthian leather seats" -- amazing line!
     
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  6. "what's done is done, politicians stink, now what's for dinner?"
    - Richard Reed
    This quote is going to be my new email signature for 2010
     
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  7. awesome article, I agree on many levels!
    JoJo--might want to get his name right if you're going to immortalize him. Not Reed, R-e-a-d. But good idea. I might have to grab "I'm wary of getting too caught up in the giddiness of it all." Works in so many situations. :D
     
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  8. Are you all delusional? Hardly anyone will buy an EV. Several reasons: 1. They cost too much. 2. They hardly get you down the road 50 miles. 3. What do you do with a worn out battery? 4. Detroit and Washington are trying to sell something that won't sell!
     
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  9. That's right. It's time to move on. But with the way things were last year, I would have expected even more change by now. This year's show sounds like the second day after a big bender. That hangover's gone, so you convince yourself that just a little bit is okay...
     
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  10. RLJ: I think you're looking at the wrong cars. Also, I think the technology is improving pretty quickly, and the ways in which automakers are using it and bending it to their needs is remarkable. The Chevy Volt alone is an example of that -- a car that runs on electricity, although it depends on a gas-powered generator once the 40-mile range is passed.
    _
    Seriously: electric vehicles of some sort or another are inevitable. They're the future. There is no going back. It may take a while to move forward, but Things Have Changed.
     
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  11. Volt is very nice and efficient for short commutes. But without gov't rebates it will still be am expensive novelty 2 years after its release (whenever it happens.) Honestly, it's impractical (4 seats) and to save the Earth and ourselves, anyone commuting 40 miles both ways should be taking a bus. I truly hope this tech will keep improving and getting cheaper and I want us to stay ahead of the curve (meaning ahead of the Chinese) though whatever we invent they will copy and steal.
     
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  12. @JKD: Well said. IMHO, the Volt will be the first iteration of a mass-produced, largely electric vehicle. Someone else will probably come along shortly and do it better -- not unlike how Toyota stole Honda's thunder by building a better hybrid than the Insight.
     
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  13. the cars are still trying to outdo each other with glitz...no solid styling. Car buyers need a reason to fall in love with the cars they drive. As it is, if you parked all of the offerings together, it would be hard to tell which ones they were. Go back to some modified art deco so the cars stand out. Buyers have a reason to love them...they may be technically great, but they dont do much for a love affair. Im tired to looking at Jelly Beans. Lets go back to looks and love affairs....whatever it takes...look at cars of the '50's and 60's....they spoke to buyers.
     
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